• RT @nytopinion: "Opponents of action against climate change have always relied on multiple lines of defense," @paulkrugman writes. "If one…
    Paul Krugman Tue 17 Aug 2021 10:54
  • And of course the French committed incredible atrocities in reprisal. The parallels are far from perfect, but history really should have told us to expect failure 5/
    Paul Krugman Mon 16 Aug 2021 21:08
  • But they couldn't do it. Spain at the time had maybe a third Afghanistan's current population, and France committed around 350,000 soldiers at the peak; they couldn't suppress the Spaniards, who kept losing regular battles but fought a brutal guerrilla war 4/
    Paul Krugman Mon 16 Aug 2021 21:03
  • Instead, it was the French against a nationalist uprising, with a strong religious component. And let's be clear: there was at least initially a good case for the French, who were trying to drag a backward nation into the modern world 3/
    Paul Krugman Mon 16 Aug 2021 20:58
  • The Peninsular War was Napoleon's long attempt to place Spain under French rule. Most English-language books on that war are Wellington-centric — but until near the end the British were literally peripheral players 2/
    Paul Krugman Mon 16 Aug 2021 20:53
  • I claim no insight into the disaster in Afghanistan, or what we could/should have done differently. I do, however, read a lot of history, and it so happens that I recently reread this book: 1/ https://t.co/8W5vdLGR8e
    Paul Krugman Mon 16 Aug 2021 20:53
  • Remember how Republicans denounced government regulation of private business? Link
    Paul Krugman Mon 16 Aug 2021 19:38

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  • RT @ThePlumLineGS: Awful: The Texas Supreme Court has upheld Greg Abbott's ban on local officials from protecting kids with mask mandates.…
    Paul Krugman Mon 16 Aug 2021 17:03
  • But we betrayed a lot of people in the way we left. I could and would argue that we'd be seeing the same scenes if Trump were still in the WH; but Biden should have done better 3/
    Paul Krugman Mon 16 Aug 2021 14:28
  • This war was probably lost way back in 2002, when Bush diverted resources and attention to Iraq, if it was ever winnable at all. Maybe it wasn't. And the U.S. public wasn't willing to support a forever war 2/
    Paul Krugman Mon 16 Aug 2021 14:28
  • Not my department, thank God. But I am of course following the Afghanistan disaster — and am ashamed about America's failure to provide a way out for Afghans who trusted us 1/
    Paul Krugman Mon 16 Aug 2021 14:23
  • Both Republicans and degrowthers insist that there's a tight link between economic growth and emissions. But consider the UK, where per capita CO2 is back to the levels of the 50s — the *1850s* https://t.co/nPdj4TWCv3
    Paul Krugman Sun 15 Aug 2021 10:56
  • The party of personal responsibility strikes agin Link https://t.co/BwCz6BTvGe
    Paul Krugman Sat 14 Aug 2021 19:31
    Senator Bill Cassidy of Louisiana and other Senate Republicans spoke to media after reaching a bipartisan infrastructure deal last month. “We cannot live without fossil fuels or chemicals, period, end of story,” he said recently.Credit...T.J. Kirkpatrick for The New York Times
  • So if you weren't aware, I actually put out 2 letters: quirky on Tuesday, wonky on Friday. You can subscribe to all this here: 3/ Link
    Paul Krugman Fri 13 Aug 2021 20:10
  • By the way, when they told me about this it was news to me that my newsletters had ever been available to non-subscribers. And as I understand it, both will now also appear onsite 2/
    Paul Krugman Fri 13 Aug 2021 20:05
  • The Times introducing a bunch more newsletters, while making existing ones, including mine, subscriber-only — which is OK, because you should subscribe! 1/ Link
    Paul Krugman Fri 13 Aug 2021 20:05

    Times Insider explains who we are and what we do, and delivers behind-the-scenes insights into how our journalism comes together.

    Newsletters have a history even longer than newspapers, and email is several decades older than the web. Despite this lengthy pedigree, email newsletters are having a very buzzy moment — and here at The New York Times, we’re striving to bring even more depth, ambition and scale to our lineup.

    This summer marks 20 years since The Times published its first newsletters. We started off in 2001 covering technology, books and finance, among other topics. Some of those newsletters are still thriving, in various incarnations, as part of a portfolio that reaches some 15 million people every week — a number that has surged over the last two years. Flagships such as The Morning and DealBook serve as a destination for readers and a crucial gateway and guide to our journalism, while offering original reporting and analysis.

    As the editorial...

  • In which I somehow link Greek philosophy and core inflation Link
    Paul Krugman Fri 13 Aug 2021 18:10

    To be a good empirical economist, you must be prepared to make use of economic data without forgetting that the data is at best an imperfect guide to reality. I used to describe national income accounting — G.D.P. and all that — as a peculiarly boring form of science fiction. That’s not to say that the statisticians just make things up; they try really hard, and their work is immensely valuable. It’s just that any close look at how the numbers are constructed reveals that data coverage is always incomplete and the gaps are filled in with estimates and imputations.

    Lately, however, I’ve found myself drawn to another analogy: Economic measures, especially the measures we use to make sense of a rapidly changing situation, are like the shadows on the wall of Plato’s cave. That is, they’re imperfect images of an underlying reality that exists, but that we can’t directly see. And sometimes it’s important, in interpreting the shadows, to think about the Platonic ideal...

  • Don’t buy the arguments against investment Link
    Paul Krugman Fri 13 Aug 2021 12:34

    The lesson from Wednesday’s consumer price report was, to a large extent, in the eyes of the beholder.

    Team Transitory — a term I’m stealing from the economic analyst George Pearkes — was encouraged by the fact that July’s inflation was substantially lower than June’s. That is, those arguing that recent price increases reflect temporary disruptions as we recover from the pandemic rather than an underlying inflation problem — a group that includes White House economists, many progressives and yours truly — found the report reassuring.

    Other reasonable economists were not as sanguine, pointing out that inflation is still running hot and warning that we may soon see substantial increases in rent, which is a big part of the Consumer Price Index. And I’ll concede the possibility that above-normal inflation may prove persistent enough that the Federal Reserve will want to tighten monetary policy sooner than it now expects. I don’t think that’s going to happen, but I’m not...

  • TEAM TRANSITORY — I like it and plan to steal it. This report does look like what you'd expect if recent inflation was about transitory disruptions, not stagflation redux Link
    Paul Krugman Wed 11 Aug 2021 12:48

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  • Age distribution! Seniors in Florida have high vax rates. But younger people not Link
    Paul Krugman Tue 10 Aug 2021 22:47

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  • RT @ThePlumLineGS: As @paulkrugman says, local officials defying GOP governors who care more about MAGA than children's health has importan…
    Paul Krugman Tue 10 Aug 2021 17:37
  • This is a really big story. Local governments and school districts are rising up in defiance of governors who care more about being sufficiently MAGA than about children's health. Much bigger political implications than whatshisname resigning. Link
    Paul Krugman Tue 10 Aug 2021 17:32

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  • Oh, for God's sake. Do the math, people. GDP will be ~$300 trillion over the next decade. $3.5 trillion, partially paid for with tax hikes, and much of it expanding the economy's capacity, isn't an inflation threat Link
    Paul Krugman Tue 10 Aug 2021 17:27
    Consumer prices spiked in June at the fastest annual pace since 2008 and everything from used cars and airfare to laundry machines and bacon has become more expensive as inflation spikes. Some economists have argued that this period of inflation will be temporary, but it's emerged as a key talking point for Republicans hoping to slow Biden's agenda.
  • This is all about pandering to the crazies at the expense of sane people's health and lives. If DeSantis doesn't pay a price for this, it's hard to have much hope for America 3/
    Paul Krugman Tue 10 Aug 2021 14:02
  • I mean, you can't even make the case that this is about saving jobs — business is actually pleading for the right to check vaccination status. And how does being terrified about who might cough on me (or my child!) enhance "freedom"? 2/
    Paul Krugman Tue 10 Aug 2021 13:57
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