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###- Looking ahead, highlights include US CPI, German CPI (Final), Chinese M2, Speeches from BoE's Pill, Fed's Evans & Kashkari, Supply from Germany & US, Earnings from Disney, Honda, Fox, Aviva, Evonik & E.ON." With Newsquawk you get the services of a full analyst team for the price of their coffee each month. It’s a no-brainer value wise compared to hiring your own analysts."
Analysis details (10:03)
Equities are flat as catalysts remain light and traders look ahead to tomorrow’s US CPI figures. US equity futures trade without a firm direction, with a broad-based performance seen across the major contracts. More broadly, commentary from JPM’s Kolanovic is of note as he is calling for investors to modestly trim their stock allocations and switch to commodities. However, this is not an overt shift from the equity bull – as the shift from equities to commodities is to take advantage of recent pressure within commodities. As such, Kolanovic’s overweight recommendation for equities remains intact and they continue to see equities picking up through end-2022 amid robust earnings. Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley warns of a growing gap between negative EPS revisions and positive sales revisions, with “industrials and IT [posting] weak earnings relatively, while things look better for consumer discretionary, staples, energy, large-cap and value...
DXY
The index adopted a mild downside bias following early side-ways trade amid summer conditions, a lack of drivers, and ahead of the US CPI metric on Wednesday. DXY resides under yesterday’s 106.37 close, with some brief support found at its 10 DMA (106.17) ahead of 106.00, whilst the 21 DMA is seen at 106.78 - yesterday’s range is printed between 106.09-106.81. “Expect another range-bound day”, says ING. Given the holiday trading condition, participants may want to give greater attention to option expiries which could see FX gravitate toward strikes heading into the NY cut, in the absence of catalysts – see the full list here.
GBP, EUR
A choppy session thus far for Sterling, relative to G10 peers, with early gains in the currency trimmed following dovish vibes from BoE Deputy Governor Ramsden who stated that a 2023 rate cut is a possible scenario but is not his forecast, whilst the BoE could be in a situation of cutting rates and selling assets at...
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