• Remarkable. Thank you @charliebilello for circulating. #cryptocurrenices #crypto #bitcoin Link
    Mohamed A. El-Erian Wed 14 Apr 2021 13:15

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  • As #banks start reporting their quarterly earnings, overall US #markets remain rather range-bound for now before the open-- both #bonds and #stocks Meanwhile, another #Bitcoin price record (chart). Ahead today: lots of @federalreserve speakers, including the Chair and Vice Chair. https://t.co/oYSZtTrYwj
    Mohamed A. El-Erian Wed 14 Apr 2021 12:30
  • Via @nytimes, @Neil_Irwin on distinguishing between legitimate #inflation concerns and "a golden era for inflation nonsense." Link #economy https://t.co/zc1YXHi83j
    Mohamed A. El-Erian Wed 14 Apr 2021 12:15
    Travelers in Salt Lake City International Airport last month. Air travel is still generally cheaper than it was a year ago, in contrast to some other goods and services that have had sharp rises in price.Credit...Rick Bowmer/Associated Press
  • RT @elerianm: FYI, my thoughts on the "why" and "so what" of the disconnect between how many officials see the risk of #debt traps in some…
    Mohamed A. El-Erian Wed 14 Apr 2021 03:59
  • RT @elerianm: FYI, my thoughts on the "why" and "so what" of the disconnect between how many officials see the risk of #debt traps in some…
    Mohamed A. El-Erian Tue 13 Apr 2021 18:59
  • A 3-week phenomenon that continues today: NASDAQ tends to out-perform other major indices when US government bonds are well-behaved/lower Per the charts: The 3-week range-bound trading of the 10-year accompanied a NASDAQ out-performance that has narrowed its YTD under-performance https://t.co/AKEhCN9F9b
    Mohamed A. El-Erian Tue 13 Apr 2021 17:39
  • While US #inflation came in slightly higher than expected--2.6% & 1.6%, YoY, for the CPI & Core respectively (0.6% & 0.3% MoM), the immediate impact on #markets is minimal, and for good reasons. As noted earlier, one month's data doesn't tell us much about the big issues in play. Link
    Mohamed A. El-Erian Tue 13 Apr 2021 12:49

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  • FYI, my thoughts on the "why" and "so what" of the disconnect between how many officials see the risk of #debt traps in some of the more vulnerable developing countries and how it is priced by private creditors. Link @FT #economy #markets #EmergingMarkets #em
    Mohamed A. El-Erian Tue 13 Apr 2021 11:49
  • Via @cnbc and explains the sudden drop in US stock futures. https://t.co/4frHSGy43d
    Mohamed A. El-Erian Tue 13 Apr 2021 11:19
  • Record #Bitcoin price (chart), slightly higher yields and roughly unchanged stock futures as #markets await US inflation numbers This is the most anticipated #inflation data in a very long time...even though one month's numbers are unlikely to tell us much about the big questions https://t.co/ydtwAwEeAP
    Mohamed A. El-Erian Tue 13 Apr 2021 10:34
  • RT @lisaabramowicz1: Global economists are increasingly worried about sovereign debt traps in emerging markets. Private lenders are much mo…
    Mohamed A. El-Erian Tue 13 Apr 2021 10:24
  • From the @WSJ This labor market perspective supports optimism about the #economy if the vaccine-aided recovery is not complicated by #Covid infections/new variants. Also has implications for the impact of the #Fed's new monetary framework. (For background: Link https://t.co/pnEMrYA6cR
    Mohamed A. El-Erian Mon 12 Apr 2021 23:38
    Mohamed A. El-Erian is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist. He is president of Queens’ College, Cambridge; chief economic adviser at Allianz SE, the parent company of Pimco where he served as CEO and co-CIO; and chair of Gramercy Fund Management. His books include "The Only Game in Town" and "When Markets Collide."
  • RT @CNBC: The big question facing markets is whether inflation will be truly transitory and if interest rates will remain "well-behaved," s…
    Mohamed A. El-Erian Mon 12 Apr 2021 22:48
  • From @LHSummers conversation with the @FT's @martinwolf_ Here's the link: Link #economy #markets #fed @federalreserve #centralbanks @USTreasury https://t.co/lt4hJKzYZN
    Mohamed A. El-Erian Mon 12 Apr 2021 22:33
  • RT @LauderInstitute: Lauder Global Fellow @elerianm shares his thoughts on how policymakers can maintain a robust global economic recovery…
    Mohamed A. El-Erian Mon 12 Apr 2021 14:48
  • RT @BCoeure: Thank you @elerianm for quoting @BIS_org work. There is indeed a lot going on! Link
    Mohamed A. El-Erian Mon 12 Apr 2021 13:43

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  • The conclusion from the just-issued #WhiteHouse briefing note "Assessing #Inflation in the Months and Years Ahead" by Jared Bernstein and Ernie Tedeschi. Here's the link: Link #economy #markets @econjared @ernietedeschi https://t.co/JRAofgGPmT
    Mohamed A. El-Erian Mon 12 Apr 2021 12:38

    The COVID-19 pandemic has caused an unconventional recession, and we do not expect the recovery will be typical either. While the paramount policy goals are to control the virus, get to full employment, and make the necessary investments for a more resilient and inclusive recovery, economic uncertainties and risks demand careful attention going forward. One risk the Administration is monitoring closely is inflation.

    Inflation—or the rate of change in prices over time—is not a simple phenomenon to measure or interpret. Inflation that is persistently too high can hurt the wellbeing of households, especially when it is not offset by comparable increases in wages, leading to reduced buying power. But inflation that is persistently too low leaves monetary policy with less scope to support the economy and can be a sign the economy is below its capacity, thus with room to expand jobs further. Indeed, one piece of important context around the current inflation risks is that...

  • RT @economics: The Fed risks having switched policy lanes at the wrong time and now has to be careful that it doesn't end up in a worse jam…
    Mohamed A. El-Erian Mon 12 Apr 2021 12:23
  • RT @bill_easterly: So sorry to hear of the passing of John Williamson, who coined the term "Washington Consensus." Was lucky to have him as…
    Mohamed A. El-Erian Mon 12 Apr 2021 12:23
  • Up 3%, #bitcoin is trading above $60,000 this morning. https://t.co/BrDdg98kX5
    Mohamed A. El-Erian Mon 12 Apr 2021 11:53
  • ... and while on the #inflation debate and #Fed policy, this from @Axios on labor market conditions. #economy https://t.co/37MzOT410R
    Mohamed A. El-Erian Mon 12 Apr 2021 11:43
  • Would the @FederalReserve had changed its monetary policy framework had it known back in 2019 what officials know now? My thoughts on what prompted the change and how this is playing out today in changed circumstances: Link @bopinion #Fed #economy #markets
    Mohamed A. El-Erian Mon 12 Apr 2021 11:33
    Mohamed A. El-Erian is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist. He is president of Queens’ College, Cambridge; chief economic adviser at Allianz SE, the parent company of Pimco where he served as CEO and co-CIO; and chair of Gramercy Fund Management. His books include "The Only Game in Town" and "When Markets Collide."
  • Here, via @markets, are the consensus expectations for tomorrow's US CPI data. These monthly numbers are attracting, and will attract throughout the year, increasing attention--and for good reasons including the extent to which the Fed is betting on the CPI rise being transitory. https://t.co/lIfMJCuG8F
    Mohamed A. El-Erian Mon 12 Apr 2021 11:18
  • Week Ahead: Big data week with a particular focus on the strength of the global recovery and the #inflation issue. Look specifically for #China #exports and Q-1 GDP #Eurozone IP #US inflation, retail sales and IP. Also look for the release by US #banks of quarterly earnings
    Mohamed A. El-Erian Mon 12 Apr 2021 01:32
  • Speaks to something that I feel very strongly about: The importance of identifying and sustaining the “silver linings” associated with this otherwise tragic #Covid shock. @TheEconomist https://t.co/lv7vGHwOLD
    Mohamed A. El-Erian Thu 25 Mar 2021 21:35
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