- 00:00BECAUSE IT HAS BEEN QUITE A WEEK. OF COURSE, IS INFLATION BUT THE BOE CRYSTALLIZES THIS IDEA THAT WE ARE LOOKING AT STAGFLATION, HOW DO WE GET OUT OF THIS? MATHEUS: THE DEBATE, THE STRUGGLE BETWEEN INFLATION AND RECESSION IS CERTAINLY HAVING AN IMPACT ON MARKETS. ON THE ASIAN SIDE, WE BELIEVE IN THE U.S. WE WILL SEE BETTER NEWS GOING FORWARD, IF YOU LOOK AT GASOLINE PRICES WHICH ARE DOWN FROM RECENT HIGHS AND SUPPLY CHAIN DISRUPTIONS IMPROVEMENT, RETAILERS OFFERING DISCOUNTS, THIS ALL SEEMS TO SUGGEST WE WILL PROBABLY SEE PEAK INFLATION, WE HAVE ALREADY SEEN IT OR WILL SEE IT SOON. IN THE EURO AREA AND U.K. IT WILL DEPEND ON ENERGY PRICES, BUT WE DON ' T THINK WE HAVE SEEN THE PEAK JUST YET. FRANCINE: WE ARE LOOKING AT A GAS EMBARGO AS BASE CASE, I DON ' T KNOW HOW MUCH OF THAT IS PRICED IN TWO GAS PRICES? MATHEUS: IT ' S DIFFICULT TO KNOW WITH THE MARKET IS PRICING AS ALWAYS. OUR BASE CASE IS WE WILL CONTINUE TO SEE SOME FLOWS INTO EUROPE BUT WELL BELOW WHAT WE ' RE SEEING...
- In this episode of Exchanges at Goldman Sachs: Great Investors, Tara Alhadeff, partner at Permira, talks with Alison Mass, chairman of Goldman Sachs’ Investment Banking Division, about investing in iconic brands like Doc Martens, Valentino and Golden Goose and the outlook for discretionary spending in times of volatility. Show more
The tried and tested 60/40 formula for buy-and-hold investment portfolios got off to its worst start since World War II.
The 60/40 portfolio — split between the S&P 500 Index of stocks (60%) and 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds (40%) — fell about 20% in the first half of 2022, the biggest decline on record for the start of a year, according to Goldman Sachs Research. Such ‘balanced’ portfolios, meant to blend the higher risk of stocks with the relative safety of government bonds, often have different formulations, such as a mix of corporate credit or international stocks. But virtually all of them had one of their worst starts to a year ever, according to Christian Mueller-Glissmann, head of asset allocation research within portfolio strategy at Goldman Sachs.
Almost all assets were in a precarious position at the start of the year, as valuations for stocks and bonds were hovering around their highest levels in a century, Mueller-Glissmann...
Hui Shan, chief China economist at Goldman Sachs, looks at what the latest trade figures say about the outlook for the economy. The trade surplus rose to a record as exports grew faster than expected, easing some concerns over waning global demand and providing support for an economy battling sporadic Covid outbreaks and property woes. Shan also talks about the yuan and the real estate sector on "Bloomberg Daybreak: Asia." (Source: Bloomberg)
[1] All information provided by participants in the 2021 HACR CII survey reflects data from their U.S.-based, corporate operations between January 1, 2020 and December 31, 2020.
[2] Dey, Matthew, and Mark Loewenstein. 2020. “How Many Workers Are Employed in Sectors Directly Affected by COVID-19 Shutdowns, Where Do They Work, and How Much Do They Earn?” Monthly Labor Review.
[3] Jan, Tracy and Scott Clement. 2020. “Hispanics are almost twice as likely as whites to have lost their jobs amid pandemic, poll finds.” Washington Post. Retrieved June 30, 2020. (https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2020/05/06/layoffs-race-poll-coronavirus/).
*Although the terms "Hispanic" and "Latino/a" often have distinct meanings, in this publication we use the terms interchangeably.
- Clients of Black-led financial services firm Loop Capital and Goldman Sachs will have access to new money market fund share classes that will help fund scholarships for Black women; Google made a $500 million catalytic seed investment and played a foundational role in developing the fund
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