April 2021
Full Report
A year into the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, the race between vaccine and virus entered a new phase in the Middle East and Central Asia region, and the path to recovery in 2021 is expected to be long and divergent. The outlook will vary significantly across countries, depending on the pandemic’s path, vaccine rollouts, underlying fragilities, exposure to tourism and contact-intensive sectors, and policy space and actions. Public gross financing needs in most emerging markets in the region are expected to remain elevated in 2021–22, with downside risks in the event of tighter global financial conditions and/or if fiscal consolidation is delayed due to weaker-than-expected recovery. 2021 will be the year of policies that continue saving lives and livelihoods and promote recovery, while balancing the need for debt sustainability and financial resilience. At the same time, policymakers must not lose sight of the transformational...
- The recovery from the COVID-19 crisis continues, albeit with uncertainty and varying prospects across countries. Rapid and global access to effective vaccines and therapies remains critical to fostering inclusive growth. Join this debate on the global economic outlook.
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From early on in the pandemic, the IMF’s advice to its members has been, “spend what you need, but keep the receipts.” With support from the Fund, countries have responded to the COVID emergency with a range of programs to address health, social, and economic impacts. Strengthened transparency and accountability arrangements were rapidly put in place, even as countries introduced innovations to enable expedited spending and delivery of services while confronting the pandemic. From early on in the pandemic, the IMF’s advice to its members has been, “spend what you need, but keep the receipts.”
The receipts are now coming in—information is now available on how money has been utilized, revealing binding governance constraints on effective public spending and service delivery and which innovations have proven to boost effectiveness. As this process gains speed, government officials will be challenged to learn from the positive adaptations that emerged out of the...
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