RT @COVID19Tracking: Our daily update is published. States reported 1.3 million tests, 177k cases, and 2,473 deaths. There are 99k people c…
Bill McBride Wed 02 Dec 2020 00:30

RT @CasinoCapital: @calculatedrisk I'd forgotten about Mortgage Pig™ ?? https://t.co/m1dX5JfERJ
Bill McBride Tue 01 Dec 2020 22:40

RT @COVID19Tracking: Our daily update is published. Our testing, case, and death statistics continue to be affected by the Thanksgiving hol…
Bill McBride Tue 01 Dec 2020 00:54

RT @SteveMatthews12: The closely watched weekly reports on U.S. claims for unemployment benefits will soon come with a disclaimer that some…
Bill McBride Mon 30 Nov 2020 18:14

RT @COVID19Tracking: Our daily update is published. Our testing, case, and death statistics continue to be affected by the Thanksgiving hol…
Bill McBride Mon 30 Nov 2020 00:23

RT @COVID19Tracking: Our daily update is published. States reported 2.1M tests (record), 194k cases (record), 89,834 current hospitalizatio…
Bill McBride Sat 28 Nov 2020 01:21

RT @kent_willard: @calculatedrisk I put Lawler's data in the attached layout - a bit more formatting. https://t.co/OmDAFB2IeU
Bill McBride Fri 27 Nov 2020 22:16

Lawler: "It appears that from the end of 2019 to the end of 2020 the US working age population did not increase at all."
Bill McBride Fri 27 Nov 2020 14:41

RT @COVID19Tracking: Our daily update is published. States reported 1.2M tests, 125k cases, 90,481 current hospitalizations, and 1,319 deat…
Bill McBride Fri 27 Nov 2020 00:10

I'm still positive on the economic outlook - especially after the virus is under control - but the medium term outlook is not as positive as it once was. There have been more prime age deaths than expected, and far less prime age immigration. 6/6
Bill McBride Thu 26 Nov 2020 17:35

Almost a decade ago, I wrote "The future is bright!". I was excited about the economic outlook, and especially changing demographics. Tomorrow I will post some "dismal" updated demographics, and there are far fewer prime age people than I expected a decade ago. 5/
Bill McBride Thu 26 Nov 2020 17:35

Of course this doesn't include the long-haulers - people that are suffering physical and mental issues. We don't know the long term issues. My sense is whatever economic gain we are seeing by accepting mass deaths, will be more than offset in the medium term by less growth. 4/
Bill McBride Thu 26 Nov 2020 17:30

Some people might argue it is the "olds" that are dying. And only about 25% of the deaths have been working age people. That argument clashes with my values - protecting the weak - but I understand people have different values. 3/
Bill McBride Thu 26 Nov 2020 17:30

Even now, I have hard time accepting 2,000+ deaths per day in December. I keep expecting behaviors to change more than they have. Of course I'm very optimistic on the 2nd half of 2021. There should be a significant boom after the vaccine is available. 2/
Bill McBride Thu 26 Nov 2020 17:25

A few comments on the economic outlook: All year I've been too pessimistic on the economic recovery. The reason is simple - In my worst nightmares, I never though the US would accept 400,000+ COVID deaths in the first year of the pandemic. 1/
Bill McBride Thu 26 Nov 2020 17:25

RT @COVID19Tracking: Heading into Thanksgiving, we will see COVID-19 metrics drop—and then rise—in ways that may trip up unsuspecting obser…
Bill McBride Wed 25 Nov 2020 00:38

RT @COVID19Tracking: Our daily update is published. States reported 1.8 million tests, 167k cases, and 2,028 deaths. 88k people currently h…
Bill McBride Wed 25 Nov 2020 00:38

RT @HousingWire: BREAKING: Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac conforming loan limits increase for 2021. Most counties increase by 7.5%. https://t.co/N…
Bill McBride Tue 24 Nov 2020 19:13

S&P CORELOGIC CASE-SHILLER INDEX SHOWS ANNUAL HOME PRICE GAINS SOARED TO 7% IN SEPTEMBER
Bill McBride Tue 24 Nov 2020 14:03

RT @COVID19Tracking: Our daily update is published. States reported 1.8 million tests, 151k cases, and 956 deaths. 85,836 people are hospit…
Bill McBride Tue 24 Nov 2020 00:42

RT @COVID19Tracking: Our daily update is published. States reported 1.7M tests, 150k cases, and 889 new deaths. A record 83,870 people are…
Bill McBride Mon 23 Nov 2020 00:42

Goldman on GDP: "We retain high conviction in our arguments for above-consensus GDP growth in 2021 and 2022. However, the rapid ... resurgence of the coronavirus has led us to downgrade our Q4 and Q1 GDP forecasts. We now expect +3.5% and +1.0% annualized growth in Q4 and Q1."
Bill McBride Sun 22 Nov 2020 13:51

RT @COVID19Tracking: Our daily update is published. States reported 2M tests (a record), 178k cases, and 1,506 new deaths. 83k people are c…
Bill McBride Sun 22 Nov 2020 01:01

RT @COVID19Tracking: Daily COVID-19 deaths have been over 1,800 for 3 days in a row. https://t.co/pPuriIE6Vs
Bill McBride Sat 21 Nov 2020 00:15

RT @COVID19Tracking: Our daily update is published. States reported 1.9 million tests, 193k cases, and 82k people currently hospitalized wi…
Bill McBride Sat 21 Nov 2020 00:15