• “Real” wages—pay adjusted for inflation—for the lowest-earning tier of workers fell 0.5% in August from a year earlier. That contrasts with 2.1% annual growth in the two years before the pandemic. Link https://t.co/isfLnPi9vN
    Real Time Economics Thu 16 Sep 2021 08:20

    This should be the best of times for low-wage workers, as pandemic-induced labor shortages force employers to sharply raise pay. Yet for many, it doesn’t feel that way, because those same disruptions have pushed inflation to near its highest rate in over a decade.

    Troy Sutton, age 61, lost a job as a custodian at the start of the pandemic in 2020 that paid $12 an hour, and he spent more than a year unemployed. This past summer, he landed a job as a custodian at the University of Pennsylvania he said pays $18 or more an hour.

  • Companies are delaying investments and cutting jobs as strict travel limits, especially in Asia, weigh on sectors from manufacturing to education Link
    Real Time Economics Thu 16 Sep 2021 07:15

    The economic damage from Covid-19 travel restrictions is piling up, with more companies holding back on large investments or postponing decisions as border closures and visa delays stymie operations for longer than expected.

    The situation has been most acute in Asia, where governments, worried about the Delta variant, are refusing to lift restrictions that have limited travel for more than a year. China has kept its borders mostly shut since March 2020. Japan, Australia, Singapore and other countries are still blocking borders or requiring lengthy quarantines for visitors.

  • Workers aren’t ready to commute, posing a challenge for reopening big-city offices Link
    Real Time Economics Thu 16 Sep 2021 06:15

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  • The official poverty rate in 2020 was 11.4%, the first increase after five years of declines. A broader poverty measure actually fell last year to 9.1%, down 2.6 percentage points from 2019. Link
    Real Time Economics Thu 16 Sep 2021 05:15

    Americans last year saw their first significant decline in household income in nearly a decade, government data showed, with economic pain from the Covid-19 pandemic prompting government aid that helped keep millions from falling into poverty.

    An annual assessment of the nation’s financial well-being, released Tuesday by the Census Bureau, offered insight into how households fared during the pandemic’s first year. It arrives as Washington debates how much more to spend to bolster the economy during the worst public-health crisis in a century.

  • Eurozone consumer prices rose at the fastest pace in almost a decade in August, up 3% on a year earlier Link
    Real Time Economics Thu 16 Sep 2021 04:15

    LONDON—Inflation in the eurozone hit its highest level in almost a decade in August amid signs that shortages of semiconductors and other important manufacturing components are pushing up the prices paid by consumers.

    Broad consumer prices were 3% higher in August than a year earlier, a pickup from the 2.2% rate of inflation recorded in July and the sharpest rise since November 2011.

  • Treasury says revenue rose 18% to a record $3.6 trillion from October through August compared with a year earlier Link
    Real Time Economics Thu 16 Sep 2021 03:10

    The U.S. budget deficit narrowed to $2.7 trillion during the first 11 months of the fiscal year from $3 trillion in the same period a year earlier, with the gap between spending and revenue declining as the recovery from a pandemic-induced slump boosted taxes.

    Outlays for the 11 months through August rose 4%, to a record $6.3 trillion, the Treasury Department said Monday. Spending has been boosted by pandemic-related costs that included tax credits, expanded unemployment compensation, emergency small-business loans and stimulus checks to households, but Treasury officials have said such outlays are generally declining.

  • Median household income was $67,500 in 2020, down 2.9% from the prior year, as the U.S. dealt with the economic fallout from the Covid-19 pandemic Link
    Real Time Economics Thu 16 Sep 2021 02:10

    Americans last year saw their first significant decline in household income in nearly a decade, government data showed, with economic pain from the Covid-19 pandemic prompting government aid that helped keep millions from falling into poverty.

    An annual assessment of the nation’s financial well-being, released Tuesday by the Census Bureau, offered insight into how households fared during the pandemic’s first year. It arrives as Washington debates how much more to spend to bolster the economy during the worst public-health crisis in a century.

  • Median household income was $67,500 in 2020, down 2.9% from the prior year, as the U.S. dealt with the economic fallout from the Covid-19 pandemic Link
    Real Time Economics Thu 16 Sep 2021 01:05

    Americans last year saw their first significant decline in household income in nearly a decade, government data showed, with economic pain from the Covid-19 pandemic prompting government aid that helped keep millions from falling into poverty.

    An annual assessment of the nation’s financial well-being, released Tuesday by the Census Bureau, offered insight into how households fared during the pandemic’s first year. It arrives as Washington debates how much more to spend to bolster the economy during the worst public-health crisis in a century.

  • Fewer than 2,000 filers paid the estate tax in 2020. Democrats are proposing changes that would likely increase that number. Link
    Real Time Economics Thu 16 Sep 2021 00:05

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  • Fewer than 2,000 filers paid the estate tax in 2020. Democrats are proposing changes that would likely increase that number. Link
    Real Time Economics Wed 15 Sep 2021 23:00

    We are delighted that you'd like to resume your subscription.

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  • As rich nations contemplate a future of labor shortages and possible economic stagnation, demographic decline is already a reality in the small Eastern European nation of Latvia Link
    Real Time Economics Wed 15 Sep 2021 21:55

    DAGDA, Latvia—For nearly three decades, Inara Frolova, a local civil servant, has recorded just how fast this remote district on Latvia’s eastern border has dwindled. When her three brothers, her first husband and her son left for Ireland, she wrote it down. When births hit their lowest-ever level last year, she entered the data.

    This year, with its population at roughly half of what it was in 1990, Dagda County was deemed too small to support a local government and merged with a nearby county.

  • Americans are expecting a record surge in inflation over the next few years, according to a report from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York Link
    Real Time Economics Wed 15 Sep 2021 20:55

    Americans’ expectations of future inflation hit a record high last month, according to a new report from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, potentially challenging the central bank’s confidence that inflation pressures will ebb over time.

    In its August Survey of Consumer Expectations, the bank said Monday that respondents see inflation a year from now at 5.2%, up from expectations of 4.9% last month. Three years from now, it is expected to be at 4%, up from the 3.7% expected in July. Both readings mark record-high readings for data that goes back to 2013.

  • High shipping costs and delivery delays have merchants raising list prices and warning of shortfalls in holiday decorations Link
    Real Time Economics Wed 15 Sep 2021 20:10

    Supply-chain disruptions will make decking the halls more expensive than ever for consumers looking for artificial trees this Christmas.

    Some U.S. retailers are raising prices by 20% to 25% to keep pace with skyrocketing shipping costs and they are warning that certain trees could sell out early because deliveries from overseas producers have been hit by the congestion that has tied up distribution networks from ports in China to freight yards in Chicago.

  • ?What’s News podcast: Economics reporter Sarah Chaney Cambon on price pressures weighing especially on low-wage workers. Link
    Real Time Economics Wed 15 Sep 2021 19:35
    What's News brings you the headlines and business news that move markets and the world—twice every weekday. In 10-12 minutes, get caught up on the best Wall Street Journal scoops and exclusives, with insight and analysis from the award-winning reporters that broke the stories. Hosted by Annmarie Fertoli and Marc Stewart.
  • Median household income was $67,500 in 2020, the Census Bureau said, down 2.9% from the prior year, as the U.S. dealt with the economic fallout from the Covid-19 pandemic Link https://t.co/PqxUIkam8o
    Real Time Economics Wed 15 Sep 2021 18:55

    Americans last year saw their first significant decline in household income in nearly a decade, government data showed, with economic pain from the Covid-19 pandemic prompting government aid that helped keep millions from falling into poverty.

    An annual assessment of the nation’s financial well-being, released Tuesday by the Census Bureau, offered insight into how households fared during the pandemic’s first year. It arrives as Washington debates how much more to spend to bolster the economy during the worst public-health crisis in a century.

  • Low-wage workers are getting sharp raises. Inflation is eating them up. Link https://t.co/wgH3oNjick
    Real Time Economics Wed 15 Sep 2021 18:20

    This should be the best of times for low-wage workers, as pandemic-induced labor shortages force employers to sharply raise pay. Yet for many, it doesn’t feel that way, because those same disruptions have pushed inflation to near its highest rate in over a decade.

    Troy Sutton, age 61, lost a job as a custodian at the start of the pandemic in 2020 that paid $12 an hour, and he spent more than a year unemployed. This past summer, he landed a job as a custodian at the University of Pennsylvania he said pays $18 or more an hour.

  • Amid bank opposition, House Democrats omitted a Biden IRS proposal from their tax bill. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is pushing lawmakers to add it. Link
    Real Time Economics Wed 15 Sep 2021 17:40

    Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and IRS Commissioner Charles Rettig pressed lawmakers Wednesday to give the Internal Revenue Service more information about taxpayers’ bank accounts, as the Biden administration tries to salvage its struggling tax-compliance proposal.

    In letters to lawmakers, the administration officials again asked Congress to require banks to report annual inflows and outflows from bank accounts with at least $600 or at least $600 worth of transactions, a proposal aimed at letting the IRS target its audits more effectively. It would generate about $460 billion over a decade to cover the costs of Democrats’ planned expansion of the social safety net and climate-change policies, according to the administration.

  • “In order for us to get back to any kind of a normal business and life experience, people have to get vaccinated,” said Columbia Sportswear Co. Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Tim Boyle, who is attending a White House meeting today. Link
    Real Time Economics Wed 15 Sep 2021 17:30

    WASHINGTON—President Biden is expected to meet Wednesday with executives from companies including Walt Disney Co. , Microsoft Corp. and Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc. to advance his Covid-19 vaccination requirements for the private sector.

    The White House meeting comes after a plan Mr. Biden announced last week designed to bring the pandemic under control, which includes vaccine requirements affecting roughly 100 million workers. Attendees are expected to discuss how they are expanding requirements at their companies and institutions and how mandates have driven up vaccinations among employees, a White House official said.

  • RT @greg_ip: Many things went wrong with our response to covid, but the fiscal response, to paraphrase Keynes, was magnificently right. The…
    Real Time Economics Wed 15 Sep 2021 16:55
  • Big money managers are bracing for a fight over a Democrat’s proposal that would tax ETFs’ use of in-kind transactions Link
    Real Time Economics Wed 15 Sep 2021 15:50

    A top Senate Democrat has been circulating a proposal that would hit the rapidly growing world of exchange-traded funds. Big money managers are bracing for a fight.

    Senate Finance Committee Chairman Ron Wyden’s proposal aims to tax ETFs’ use of “in-kind” transactions that currently avoids triggering capital-gains taxes. With such in-kind transactions, ETFs—bundles of securities that trade on exchanges—transfer appreciated stock, bonds or other assets to Wall Street intermediaries instead of cash.

  • The pandemic-induced shutdown was initially the worst hit to the U.S. economy since the Great Depression, but the fiscal response succeeded in pushing poverty in the opposite direction that usually occurs in recessions. Link via @greg_ip
    Real Time Economics Wed 15 Sep 2021 15:15

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  • A United Nations panel tasked with monitoring sanctions on North Korea has fallen into dysfunction as China feuds with the U.S. Link
    Real Time Economics Wed 15 Sep 2021 14:45

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  • Weakness in retail sales and the property sector add to an increasingly cloudy outlook for China’s economy Link
    Real Time Economics Wed 15 Sep 2021 14:25

    BEIJING—Growth across a range of Chinese economic indicators pulled back sharply in August, as a new outbreak of the Covid-19 Delta variant and tighter government regulations on the property market hit consumer spending and the housing sector.

    Retail sales, a key gauge of China’s consumption, rose just 2.5% in August from a year earlier, down sharply from July’s 8.5% year-over-year growth, according to data released Wednesday by China’s National Bureau of Statistics. The result marked the lowest pace of growth in a year and missed by a large margin the 6.3% increase expected by economists polled by The Wall Street Journal.

  • The pandemic-induced shutdown was initially the worst hit to the U.S. economy since the Great Depression, but the fiscal response succeeded in pushing poverty in the opposite direction that usually occurs in recessions. Link
    Real Time Economics Wed 15 Sep 2021 14:10

    We are delighted that you'd like to resume your subscription.

    You will be charged $ + tax (if applicable) for The Wall Street Journal. You may change your billing preferences at any time in the Customer Center or call Customer Service. You will be notified in advance of any changes in rate or terms. You may cancel your subscription at anytime by calling Customer Service.

    Please click confirm to resume now.

  • SEC Chairman Gary Gensler told lawmakers that he was taking a hard look at cryptocurrency trading platforms and firms that pay to execute individual investors’ trades while also calling for more funding for the regulatory agency. Link
    Real Time Economics Wed 15 Sep 2021 14:05

    WASHINGTON—Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Gary Gensler said he was taking a hard look at cryptocurrency-trading platforms in a hearing Tuesday in which he called for more funding for the regulatory agency.

    Mr. Gensler also reiterated his openness to potentially banning payment for order flow, a practice in which stockbrokers sell customers’ trades to high-speed trading platforms.

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