• ??@Isabel_Schnabel: Our inflation measure is based on the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices, compiled independently by Eurostat on the basis of actual consumption behaviour. Perceived inflation can be different & individual inflation differs from the average. #AskECB Link
    European Central Bank Wed 28 Apr 2021 13:06

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  • ??@Isabel_Schnabel: The low profitability of euro area banks, also compared to global competitors, has been a reason for concern for quite some time. That’s why bank profitability is one of the key priorities for our banking supervisors in 2021: Link #AskECB Link
    European Central Bank Wed 28 Apr 2021 13:01

    In 2021 ECB Banking Supervision will primarily focus its supervisory efforts on four priority areas materially affected by the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic: credit risk management, capital strength, business model sustainability and governance.

    We will also carry out further structural activities looking beyond the impact of the pandemic in 2021, particularly in relation to banks’ alignment with the expectations set out in the ECB Guide on climate-related and environmental risks and their preparedness for the final stages of the implementation of Basel III. Depending on how the crisis develops, specific supervisory activities may be adjusted and tailored according to banks’ specific risk profiles.

    ###

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  • ??@Isabel_Schnabel: The weekly change in the Eurosystem’s PEPP holdings (at amortised cost) at the beginning of April was affected by redemptions, the reduced number of trading & settlement days due to the Easter holidays and the quarter-end amortisation adjustment. #AskECB Link
    European Central Bank Wed 28 Apr 2021 13:01

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  • ??@Isabel_Schnabel: Our targeted longer-term refinancing operations (TLTROs) have been crucial in supporting bank lending to households and firms. This has helped to avoid a credit crunch at the height of the pandemic. #AskECB Link
    European Central Bank Wed 28 Apr 2021 13:01

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  • ??@Isabel_Schnabel: Rising housing costs are a burden for many people and may give rise to financial stability risks. In our #strategyreview we discuss how to better capture housing costs in our inflation measure. But we do not target asset prices. #AskECB Link
    European Central Bank Wed 28 Apr 2021 13:01

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  • ??@Isabel_Schnabel: Debt cancellation is not an option. It would constitute monetary financing and violate the Treaties. It would also call into question the ECB’s commitment to its price stability mandate and undermine the rule of law and the independence of the ECB. #AskECB Link
    European Central Bank Wed 28 Apr 2021 12:56

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  • ??@Isabel_Schnabel: Preserving favourable financing conditions shifts the focus from quantities to prices – the conditions at which sovereigns, firms & households can receive funding. Monthly volumes vary, as we continue to buy flexibly according to market conditions. #AskECB Link
    European Central Bank Wed 28 Apr 2021 12:56

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  • To find out more about the ECB’s economy-wide climate stress test, please refer to a recent article by our Vice President Luis de Guindos published on the ECB blog: Link
    European Central Bank Wed 28 Apr 2021 12:51

    Frankfurt am Main, 18 March 2021

    Jump to a shorter version of this blog post, which also appeared in several euro area newspapers

    Climate change is one of the greatest challenges facing humankind this century. If left unchecked, it is likely to result in more frequent and more severe climate events, causing widespread devastation and economic disruption. Substantial changes in our production, consumption and living habits are required if the world is to avert catastrophic climate change. However, the changes required may themselves disrupt the economy and the financial system.

    While the primary responsibility for combating climate change lies with governments, central banks can play an important contributory role. They can help ensure that the financial system is resilient to the transition to a low-carbon economy, by providing more and better information to market participants on the risks from climate change. Stress tests can be an important tool here,...

  • ??@Isabel_Schnabel: The ECB is currently implementing an economy-wide climate stress test to analyse the vulnerability of firms and euro area banks to physical and transition risks. The potential impact on the portfolios of non-banks will also be considered. #AskECB Link
    European Central Bank Wed 28 Apr 2021 12:51

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  • Hello, this is @Isabel_Schnabel, Executive Board member at the ECB. I’m looking forward to answering your questions for the next 45 minutes or so. Join the conversation! #AskECB https://t.co/2V2m9uE7rZ
    European Central Bank Wed 28 Apr 2021 12:51
  • Letter from Andrea Enria, Chair of the Supervisory Board, to Mr Georgiou, MEP, on consumer protection Link
    European Central Bank Wed 28 Apr 2021 12:41
  • Later today: Send us your questions using #AskECB and join the Twitter Q&A with Executive Board member @Isabel_Schnabel! Link
    European Central Bank Wed 28 Apr 2021 07:51

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  • Working Paper: Economic predictions with big data - The illusion of sparsity Link
    European Central Bank Tue 27 Apr 2021 09:35
  • In his speech at the European Statistical Forum, Chief Economist Philip R. Lane discusses two challenges for macroeconomic statistics: 1? Globalisation-related measurements 2? Data needs exposed by the pandemic crisis Read his remarks Link https://t.co/AMWaewzlcD
    European Central Bank Mon 26 Apr 2021 13:34

    26 April 2021

    Economic and financial statistics play a central role in guiding monetary policy decisions: central banks constitute an important user group for the output of statistical agencies, while also helping to collect the data underpinning many macro-financial statistical series. Events such as the European Statistical Forum provide a welcome opportunity to bring together the producers and users of statistics.

    In my remarks today, I will discuss two main topics: the first topic is the globalisation-related measurement challenges for macroeconomic statistics, with a focus on external and national accounts; the second topic is the data needs exposed by the pandemic crisis.[1],[2] I will highlight some of the ongoing initiatives to address these measurement challenges, and outline some ideas to enhance further the quality of official statistics.

  • Panetta: By taking advantage of favourable financing conditions, fiscal authorities can achieve a full recovery. According to illustrative estimates, extra spending on productive investment of ~2.8% of GDP would allow to reconnect with the pre-crisis growth trend by 2022 5/5 https://t.co/ELBceLjf8X
    European Central Bank Mon 26 Apr 2021 12:29
  • Panetta: We should avoid withdrawing policy support until the output gap is closed and we see inflation sustainably back at 2%. We will have to maintain very favourable financing conditions well beyond the end of the pandemic 4/5
    European Central Bank Mon 26 Apr 2021 12:29
  • Panetta: Europe’s economic trajectory is in our hands. The ECB will continue to use its monetary autonomy to bring inflation back to our aim. In recent months, euro area yields have decoupled from those in the United States 3/5
    European Central Bank Mon 26 Apr 2021 12:29
  • Panetta: Global factors, especially commodity price shocks, can have sizeable effects on price developments. But globalisation has only marginal effects on trend inflation. The inflation process is still a domestic phenomenon that monetary policy can control 2/5
    European Central Bank Mon 26 Apr 2021 12:29
  • (THREAD) How globalisation affects inflation and financing conditions in the euro area depends on our policy response, says Executive Board member Fabio Panetta. The euro area has monetary autonomy – the question is how to use it wisely. Speech Link 1/5 https://t.co/LhbD0adnwc
    European Central Bank Mon 26 Apr 2021 12:29

    Frankfurt am Main, 26 April 2021

    Thank you very much for the opportunity to speak at this conference on spillovers in a “post-pandemic, low-for-long” world.[1]

    Over the last decade, globalisation has called into question central banks’ ability to achieve domestic objectives. According to some[2], close economic and financial ties across borders make inflation more of a global phenomenon than a domestic one. And spillovers would leave central banks less able to control domestic financing conditions.

    Today, these views are being put to the test.

    US authorities are engaging in unprecedented fiscal and monetary expansion, which will show whether forceful policy stimulus can still raise inflation. The associated improvement in the US and global economic outlook has generated upward pressures on sovereign bond yields, which central banks whose economies are less advanced in the recovery are striving to resist. Whether they succeed will reveal the scope...

  • Working Paper: Tracking global economic uncertainty - Implications for the euro area Link
    European Central Bank Mon 26 Apr 2021 10:39
  • Working Paper: Foreign banks and the doom loop Link
    European Central Bank Mon 26 Apr 2021 10:39
  • Research bulletin: Making waves – Fed spillovers are stronger and more encompassing than the ECB’s Link
    European Central Bank Thu 15 Apr 2021 07:31

    International trade and financial globalisation have made economies more interdependent and more exposed to each other’s domestic shocks. Economic theory suggests that globalisation affects the transmission mechanism of monetary policy and that its spillovers could strengthen the international dimension of monetary policy.[2] When monetary policy actions spill over abroad, this might at times complement policy choices in other countries and thus be a welcome externality. But at other times this might confront these countries with unfavourable policy choices. For example, they may find it harder to reconcile macroeconomic and financial stability without resorting to an enlarged set of policy tools. Only by exploring data can we shine a light on the extent to which monetary policy has acquired a global dimension.

    Comparing spillovers originating from different central banks based on previous research is difficult. In past approaches, the estimation methodology,...

  • (For German speakers) Register now and follow live from 19:00 CET: Executive Board member @Isabel_Schnabel will discuss our monetary policy with member of the @Europarl_EN @Sven_Giegold in a webinar organised by @SVR_Wirtschaft Link Link https://t.co/SWUWhR5h8L
    European Central Bank Wed 14 Apr 2021 15:50

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  • Did you miss it? You can still watch Executive Board member Fabio Panetta talking about the outcome of the public consultation on a digital euro at the European Parliament’s Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs @EP_Economics Link Link
    European Central Bank Wed 14 Apr 2021 14:40

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  • Do liquidity policy measures hurt fund investors? Our latest Macroprudential Bulletin shows that pre-emptive liquidity measures make funds more resilient and investors safer, especially when market liquidity is low. Read more Link https://t.co/mUfteF5QNA
    European Central Bank Wed 14 Apr 2021 13:15

    Prepared by Margherita Giuzio, Michael Grill, Dominika Kryczka and Christian Weistroffer

    Large differences between the liquidity of investment funds’ assets and liabilities (i.e. liquidity mismatches) can create vulnerabilities in the financial system and expose funds to a risk of large outflows and sudden drops in market liquidity. From a macroprudential perspective, the current regulatory framework may not sufficiently address the risks stemming from liquidity mismatches in investment funds. By modelling the liquidity management of an open-ended fund, this article provides theoretical justification for pre-emptive policy measures such as cash buffers that enhance financial stability by helping to increase the resilience of investment funds.

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