Kristen Tauber Willem Van Zandweghe
Empirical studies find that the link between inflation and economic slack has weakened in recent decades, a development that could hamper monetary policymakers as they aim to achieve their inflation objective. We show that while the role of economic slack has diminished, economic growth has become a significant driver of inflation dynamics, indicating that the link between inflation and economic activity remains but the relevant gauge of activity has changed. The new evidence suggests that the COVID-19-related recession could induce substantial disinflationary pressure. Read More
Kristen Tauber Willem Van Zandweghe
Empirical studies find that the link between inflation and economic slack has weakened in recent decades, a development that could hamper monetary policymakers as they aim to achieve their inflation objective. We show that while the role of economic slack has diminished, economic growth has become a significant driver of inflation dynamics, indicating that the link between inflation and economic activity remains but the relevant gauge of activity has changed. The new evidence suggests that the COVID-19-related recession could induce substantial disinflationary pressure. Read More
Presented by Patrick T. Harker, President and Chief Executive Officer Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
The Center City Proprietors Association Philadelphia, PA (virtual) July 15, 2020
PDF version (271 KB, 6 pages)
Good afternoon, everybody, and thanks to Suzette for that very kind introduction. It’s great to be here among such an impressive group of people who care deeply about our city.
Given that today’s lunch is virtual, I won’t do the standard thing and urge you to try the salmon and tip the waiters. But I still have to do another standard thing, which is to give you my usual Fed disclaimer: The views I express today are my own and do not necessarily reflect those of anyone else on the Federal Open Market Committee or in the Federal Reserve System.
The New Abnormal
We’re now about four months into the coronavirus crisis and the onset of what I don’t want to call the “new normal.” None of this — including the fact that we’re...
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