• Free weekly wrap: The crisis machine: Link https://t.co/q7uFGcxAv4
    RiskNet Risk Mgmt Sat 31 Aug 2019 10:04

    ING issues ESG-linked interest rate swap

    Dutch bank takes carrot-and-stick approach on interest rate swap for oil and gas equipment firm

    Global banks fear Hong Kong frontrunning FRTB

    Local subsidiaries of EU and US banks may be forced to adopt models before their parents

    CME no longer looking back to Lehman

    Changes to rates margin model come as bourse tweaks pricing for Eurodollar futures

     

    COMMENTARY: The weight of history

    This time last year, we were approaching an important anniversary: 10 years since the September 2008 collapse of Lehman Brothers. This wasn’t just a cue for a wave of retrospective articles washing over virtually every part of the financial media (not excluding Risk.net, though we did take more of a have-we-learned-anything tack). It also marked the point at which the direst moments of the global financial crisis would start to drop out of a 10-year loss data window.

    We looked at the...

  • #RiskJournals offer a number of free to read papers, check out one of the latest here: Link @PromontoryFG https://t.co/bAjfNfIEbk
    RiskNet Risk Mgmt Wed 28 Aug 2019 11:11
    Financial firms tier their models according to risk to support a range of model risk management activities. Decision trees and scorecards are the two main approaches to tiering, with each type of tool having advantages and disadvantages. Observed industry practice highlights several key principles for effective model risk tiering. Design, calibration, implementation, and governance of model risk tiering should reflect those key principles.
  • .@CMEGroup pushing to alter its methodology Link #LehmanBrothers #CentralCounterparties
    RiskNet Risk Mgmt Wed 28 Aug 2019 10:51

    Almost 11 years after the Lehman Brothers default triggered a global financial crisis, CME Group is finally letting the shocks that reverberated through fixed income markets in the days and months that followed roll off its interest rate swap clearing margin model – sort of.

    Most CCP risk models use a rolling lookback when setting margins, with the historical window tied to a set number of years: each day, the previous trading day’s data gets added to the time series, while the data from the

  • Weekly wrap: the price of liquidity Link https://t.co/okzvIHZsgW
    RiskNet Risk Mgmt Sat 24 Aug 2019 09:37

    Dealers dip toe into Sonia swaptions market

    NatWest and HSBC print trades, Barclays offers prices

    New op risk taxonomy set for October debut

    Project is being closely watched by banks and regulators amid frustrations with legacy Basel approach

    Euribor futures spread spike strangles prop traders

    Safe-haven butterfly trades savaged by shock divergence in mid-term contracts

     

    COMMENTARY: The price of liquidity

    It hasn’t been the calmest few years for the European rates market, but at least the big market structure issue – how to manage the transition away from Euribor to its replacement benchmark rate, whenever and however that may occur – is one that can be dealt with carefully and with plenty of time for thought. Meanwhile, in the market itself, liquidity remains high and proven low-risk trades such as butterfly trades (sell a short-dated and a long-dated future, and buy two intermediate ones) and their relatives...

  • Link discuss an upcoming paper for #JRMV in their latest article, check it out! #RiskJournals Link https://t.co/PsQjmc06Sy
    RiskNet Risk Mgmt Fri 23 Aug 2019 11:56

    Japanese banks Norinchukin and Nomura have switched to a new system for calculating counterparty risks, which cut trillions of yen from their leverage exposures. The effects on risk-based capital, however, were different for each. The two banks adopted the Basel Committee-mandated standardised approach for measuring counterparty credit risk in the first quarter of this year.

    Read the full article ###

    Calculating value-at-risk using historical data involves finding a way between two common pitfalls. If the window of historical data considered is too small, the result will be extremely volatile, as the dataset of daily data points will turn over rapidly. But if too long a lookback is used, the danger is it includes data that is no longer relevant, because it comes from a period in history that is too remote to be comparable to the present day.

    Basel II mandated banks using their own models to

  • The “Holy Grail of #DLT”? Link #blockchain
    RiskNet Risk Mgmt Fri 23 Aug 2019 09:36

    A new blockchain platform that promises to simplify the gnarled process of equity-swap reconciliation is nearing completion, and its big Wall Street backers will get the chance to try it out by year-end.

    Over the past few years, Axoni, a distributed-ledger technology (DLT) firm, has been building the platform for Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan and other investors to make the convoluted process of reconciling equity swaps closer to a limpid one. The platform will eventually be open to any

  • RT @RiskDotNet: VAR model with a fixed window is flawed concept, as different markets have different optimal window lengths – #quants https…
    RiskNet Risk Mgmt Thu 22 Aug 2019 12:35
  • Register today for our Non-financial risk management (London, 11-12 Sep) training course and save £480! This course will delve into approaches to building frameworks for enterprise risk and the increased importance of operational resilience. Register here: Link https://t.co/MIw9K96joh
    RiskNet Risk Mgmt Thu 22 Aug 2019 09:05

    If you would like to book or enquire about group booking discounts please email [email protected] or call on +44 (0) 207 316 9863.

    Training Materials Please note that presentation materials are distributed electronically and attendees are required to bring a laptop or tablet to the course with them to access the slides. Due to the business-sensitive nature of some of the topics discussed, there are occasions when speakers do not allow us to distribute their presentations.

  • Making a standardised op risk taxonomy a reality. From October. Link https://t.co/JXQGzHPhIY
    RiskNet Risk Mgmt Tue 20 Aug 2019 11:13

    A new standardised taxonomy for operational risk developed by industry consortium ORX is set to be unveiled in October.

    After spending over a year sifting through a vast dataset composed of the taxonomies of more than 60 of its members, ORX has completed a first draft of the new taxonomy, which is currently being reviewed by a member advisory group, says Steve Bishop, head of risk information and insurance at ORX.

    The project is not intended to supplant taxonomies at any one financial

  • New paper for #JOIS discussing dynamic volatility management, now online! #RiskJournals Link https://t.co/qYSNDOFsjs
    RiskNet Risk Mgmt Tue 20 Aug 2019 10:48
    The volatility of concern in conventional volatility-managed strategies such as volatility targeting and mean–variance optimization is the expected conditional volatility. However, for investors, it is the realized volatility that is important, because there is only one realization in the market. This paper provides a multiperiod strategy that directly manages the realized volatility over a long horizon.
  • Now online: August's issue of #JOR #RiskJournals Link https://t.co/YMGtswbecD
    RiskNet Risk Mgmt Mon 19 Aug 2019 15:02

    Risk model implementation requires the proper estimation of key input variables. The present issue of The Journal of Risk offers papers that deal with estimation techniques in conjunction with an assessment of their efficiency. The applications featured include risk measure estimation, credit risk model backtesting with a small sample size, and nonmaturing bank deposits.

    The rise in prominence of the risk measure expected shortfall (ES) has spurred further interest in its statistical estimation. In “Nonparametric versus parametric expected shortfall”, the first paper in the present issue, R. Douglas Martin and Shengyu Zhang use influence functions to show how parametric and nonparametric estimators differ markedly, especially with regard to standard error and risk coherence.

    The standard parameter smoothing tool of the exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) is revisited in our second paper, “Recursive estimation of the exponentially weighted moving...

  • RT @CentralBanking_: Exclusive interview with @bankofengland governor #MarkCarney Link #MonetaryPolicy
    RiskNet Risk Mgmt Mon 19 Aug 2019 11:16

    Central Banking met with Mark Carney on August 1 in London

    You joined the Bank of England (BoE) as governor at a time when the Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA) and the new macro-prudential framework under the Financial Policy Committee (FPC) were being integrated into the bank. At the same time there was the ‘One Bank’ transformation aimed at better integration and extracting savings. How has this all worked out?

    There are policy synergies and operational synergies.

    Part of the reason I

  • RT @RiskQuantum: NEW: State Street has been operating closest to its #VAR estimates over the past 12 months. The mean losses-to-VAR ratio a…
    RiskNet Risk Mgmt Mon 19 Aug 2019 11:01
  • RT @RiskQuantum: NEW: State Street and the US units of TD Group and UBS all reported #VAR backtesting exceptions in Q2, as a result of larg…
    RiskNet Risk Mgmt Mon 19 Aug 2019 10:16
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