- "We remain constructive on AUD on crosses and think the time to buy AUD/USD outright may be drawing closer...We think global and local data expectations should be inching closer to bottoming. A pick up in local vaccinations should reduce the likelihood of lockdowns and give the RBA scope to keep tapering, while PBoC easing and local fiscal spending should eventually passthrough too" "AUD positioning remains short and thus scope remains for a positioning squeeze. Our USD-positive bias keeps us wary of long AUD/USD and we prefer AUD/NZD longs"
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- inventory drawdowns indicate oil markets tighter than predictedexcess inventory built up last year ... more than eroded"This could suggest that the market is simply more undersupplied than estimated""As supply data tends to be more accurate, this suggests upside to demand estimates."
- 53% of Japanese firms see the economy recovering to pre-pandemic levels by end-FY2022, 48% see econ reaching such levels in FY2023 or later80% of firms say covid pain will fade away by end-FY2022, 20% see covid impact to last beyond FY2022half of Japan firms hit by chip shortage; 44% see it resolved in FY2022, 16% say it will persist beyond FY2022, 10% cannot foresee when it will be resolved
- The beat confirms the strength of the New Zealand economy heading into Q3 and all but locks in a Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate hike, with more to follow. Nextr RBNZ meeting is 6 October
GDP (sa) q/q expected 1.4%, prior 1.4%
GDP y/y expected 16.3%, prior 2.4%
April to June data is quite old hat now, especially given the renewed COVID-19 outbreak and lockdown response, which will weigh on Q3 data. Nevertheless, the data should confirm the NZ economy headed into Q3 with impressive momentum.
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- said regulators will kill BTC if its successful, "I think at the end of the day if it's really successful, they will kill it and they will try to kill it. And I think they will kill it because they have ways of killing it"
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- The largest mover was the Canadian dollar as CPI ran ahead of estimates but solidified the case for the BOC to continue tapering. It was also aided by the ongoing rallies in oil and natural gas; the later of which is threatening to wreck havoc on the European recovery.
- The firm adds that its mRNA-1273 remains highly effective against Covid-19 in real-world effectiveness study during surge in delta cases And believes the data support benefit of an mRNA-1273 booster dose
- Dow and S&P up to the last three trading daysNASDAQ snapped a five day losing streakThe major indices closed near their highs for the dayS&P has its best day in more than two weeksAll major S&P sectors rose with the exception of utilitiesEnergy +3.83%. Industrials +1.12%, Materials +1.11%, financials +0.93%. S&P sector laggards include utilities -0.14%, consumer staples +0.41%, real estate +0.42%, and discretionary +0.67%
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