• Even within each country, poorer areas have experienced higher cases and mortality rates. Governments have reacted with unprecedented amounts of fiscal and monetary stimulus: https://t.co/pxhamtHgkK
    Alberto Gallo Thu 11 Jun 2020 21:51
  • The bad news, is that stronger countries with better healthcare systems and an established institutional framework, are doing better: https://t.co/fU4cx6aeaI
    Alberto Gallo Thu 11 Jun 2020 21:46
  • Are countries recovering from #Covid19 and how? The good news is we are on a slow but steady recovery path. https://t.co/UBAu0tk7M8
    Alberto Gallo Thu 11 Jun 2020 21:46
  • The Fed needs better answers on runaway markets and inequality #QEinfinity #InequalityDecade Link
    Alberto Gallo Wed 10 Jun 2020 12:45
  • #Italy to issue government bonds with GDP-linked interest GDP-linked bonds smooth tail risk and can prevent recession-austerity doom loops. Investors are calling for it, too: ( Link) Link
    Alberto Gallo Mon 08 Jun 2020 14:58

    ROME, June 8 (Reuters) - Italy’s Treasury set out plans on Monday for a new bond, for retail investors only, called the ‘BTP Futura’, whose proceeds will be entirely used to fund measures to help the economy recover from the coronavirus epidemic.

    Italy is set to borrow half a trillion euros this year to help weather the pandemic and the Treasury is aiming to gradually double the amount of Italian sovereign bonds held by small investors.

    The new bond will be put on sale for the fist time from July 6-10 and will have a maturity of between eight and ten years, with a final decision to be announced on June 19, a statement said.

    The yield will increase over time and will include a “loyalty premium” for investors who hold the bond until maturity, which will be linked to Italy’s gross domestic product (GDP).

    There will be a second issue of the bond after the summer, the...

  • Long-end US inflation expectations shoot up as non-farm payrolls go +225k. Many called the death of #inflation. Perhaps it was too early, with the unprecedented #QEinfinity + fiscal stimulus. Link https://t.co/NlFH1KRUDn
    Alberto Gallo Fri 05 Jun 2020 12:40

    “I’d like to share a revelation that I’ve had during my time here. It came to me when I tried to classify your species and I realized that you’re not actually mammals. Every mammal on this planet instinctively develops a natural equilibrium with the surrounding environment but you humans do not. You move to an area and you multiply and multiply until every natural resource is consumed and the only way you can survive is to spread to another area. There is another organism on this planet that follows the same pattern. Do you know what it is? A virus.”Agent Smith, The Matrix, 1999

  • A double-punch to euroskepticism: Europe's €750bn stimulus plan and the ECB €1.35tn PEPP. @bsurveillance @tomkeene @FerroTV Link
    Alberto Gallo Thu 04 Jun 2020 18:29
  • RT @jack: Police policy reform now.
    Alberto Gallo Tue 02 Jun 2020 20:27
  • Creative Destruction In our latest #SilverBullet investor letter, we discuss the big questions facing the post-Covid economy, and how our investment process helps navigate these uncertain waters. To read more, for professional investors: Link https://t.co/137q99WOEI
    Alberto Gallo Tue 02 Jun 2020 08:57

    “I’d like to share a revelation that I’ve had during my time here. It came to me when I tried to classify your species and I realized that you’re not actually mammals. Every mammal on this planet instinctively develops a natural equilibrium with the surrounding environment but you humans do not. You move to an area and you multiply and multiply until every natural resource is consumed and the only way you can survive is to spread to another area. There is another organism on this planet that follows the same pattern. Do you know what it is? A virus.”Agent Smith, The Matrix, 1999

  • RT @RobertDeNiroUS: This is America. https://t.co/EL1c52e0ZL
    Alberto Gallo Sun 31 May 2020 22:16
  • RT @gabriel_zucman: The racial wealth gap in America: 1870-2016 (1870: Census; 1963 and after: Survey of Consumer Finances) https://t.co/…
    Alberto Gallo Sat 30 May 2020 20:15
  • RT @johnauthers: Did Bill Ackman really generate a 9,530% return? Not exactly. Worth reading this piece be Aaron Brown: https://t.co/qao8d…
    Alberto Gallo Fri 29 May 2020 14:23
  • Is Inflation dead? Some investors beat it could roar back @WSJ by @PaulJDavies Link
    Alberto Gallo Fri 29 May 2020 11:33

    Hedge funds are betting that inflation will pick up as central banks and governments world-wide print and spend vast amounts of money to support jobs and businesses hit by the coronavirus pandemic.

    That bet goes against the weight of recent history.

    Gold, a classic inflation hedge, has surged 14% this year as investors fret that central banks...

  • Spreads on corporate and emerging market debt are tightening back, on central bank and fiscal stimulus. That said, there's still a large dispersion between the winners and losers: the beta opportunity is still significant, the alpha potential even more. Link https://t.co/gbYU9sDf58
    Alberto Gallo Thu 28 May 2020 09:12

    History moves not in a line, but in tipping points. Investors often focus on the short-term business cycle, assuming the current economic and political infrastructure will remain in place. There are decades where nothing happens; and there are weeks where decades happen – Lenin said with reference to the Russian revolution. The Covid-19 pandemic and its policy responses call capitalism into question: should taxpayers bail out firms where shareholders got large dividends but paid little in taxes? Who will pick up the public debt tab?

    The answers to these questions bring an acceleration in history, pushing forward economic policy ideas as well as geopolitical developments which have been in the making over the past decade.

    Capitalism and globalisation have failed to distribute wealth efficiently. Growth rates have declined since the post-war period, for structural reasons well-known as secular stagnation. Yet as the economic pie grew slower, returns on capital...

  • Incompetence kills. Link https://t.co/DdNVDRqAXA
    Alberto Gallo Thu 28 May 2020 07:02
  • The UK Treasury has given small businesses £5.5bn in loan support. This is equal to 0.25% of GDP. The US, Switzerland and China have already provided ten times more. #PeriPeriChickenIsWhatWeNeed ( Link) Link
    Alberto Gallo Wed 27 May 2020 12:26

    You can use the search function to find a range of UK Finance material, from consultation responses to thought leadership to blogs, or to find content on a range of topics from Brexit to commercial finance.

    ###

    You can add location information to your Tweets, such as your city or precise location, from the web and via third-party applications. You always have the option to delete your Tweet location history. Learn more

  • EU to propose €750bn stimulus package, of which €500bn are grants. This is a huge step. EU states are aligned and no longer behind the curve. https://t.co/A5D8sdBZdq
    Alberto Gallo Wed 27 May 2020 10:31
  • The UK's Coronavirus Business Loan Interruption Scheme (CBILS) has so far provided £5.5bn. That's 0.25% of GDP. It compares to over 2% of GDP for Switzerland, the United States and China. Data hasn't been updated for 20 days. cc @RishiSunak Link https://t.co/MiL9qci3Hl
    Alberto Gallo Tue 26 May 2020 12:45

    You can use the search function to find a range of UK Finance material, from consultation responses to thought leadership to blogs, or to find content on a range of topics from Brexit to commercial finance.

  • RT @adam_tooze: “If Europe wants to have any chance at all, it must now show solidarity & prove it is capable to act. Additional loans to t…
    Alberto Gallo Mon 25 May 2020 09:49
  • RT @nytimes: The front page of The New York Times for May 24, 2020 https://t.co/d14JhFp4CP
    Alberto Gallo Sun 24 May 2020 06:13
  • RT @jnordvig: I have been getting a lot of push-back for trying a more positive tone on Europe this week. Some of the push-back is based on…
    Alberto Gallo Fri 22 May 2020 05:11
  • Why Negative Rates are Tempting, but a Bad Idea: via @Yalman_Onaran and @mccormickliz on @business Link
    Alberto Gallo Thu 21 May 2020 12:45
  • Capitalism post #COVID19: The pandemic accelerates history. New economic and policy trends will change the way capitalism looks, and investing will need to adapt. #algebris #alphahorizon Link
    Alberto Gallo Thu 21 May 2020 10:45
  • *BAILEY: BOE IS NOT RULING OUT NEGATIVE INTEREST RATES (After all, they've worked out pretty well in the Eurozone and Japan...) #QEinfinity
    Alberto Gallo Wed 20 May 2020 14:19
  • French-German proposal for €500bn EU recovery fund a big leap forward for Europe. Exceeding expectations on all fronts. Now, awaiting details and execution.
    Alberto Gallo Mon 18 May 2020 16:23
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