• Economic Views: EM External Vulnerability Under COVID-19 “Deep recessions will erase virtually all current account deficits and even deliver surpluses in a few major EMs,” write @SergiLanauIIF & @EconChart. ? Link https://t.co/fKAlARWFrR
    IIF Sat 25 Jul 2020 16:16
  • THREAD | ? Research Round-up ? A look at the week’s research from the IIF, including: ?? The impact of #COVID19 on EM current account deficits & #inflation ?? A halt in #PBoC pandemic stimulus ?? #ESG: Growth in demand for voluntary carbon offsets
    IIF Sat 25 Jul 2020 16:16
  • Follow the IIF Econ. Dept. Twitter list and see our experts' global insight all in one place #EconTwitter ?? Link
    IIF Fri 24 Jul 2020 18:00

    Some EMs have increased spending sharply to fight covid-19. Argentina's increase is off the charts (adjusted for inflation), which makes you wonder if it's a strong response to covid or just loss of fiscal discipline...pic.twitter.com/TDcKVRWobt

  • The face value of non-financial corporate bond defaults hit a record high in Q2 2020, originating: ?? 75% in the U.S. ?? 14% in the Euro Area ?? 3% in China See the full IIF Global Debt Monitor Link https://t.co/tceVc4D7a0
    IIF Fri 24 Jul 2020 14:40
  • WATCH: IIF Deputy Chief Economist @ElinaRibakova joined @cnbcafrica's @gmutizwa and @Investec's @ABishopInvestec live yesterday to discuss the #COVID19 policy response in #SouthAfrica and the rest of the EM universe: Link
    IIF Fri 24 Jul 2020 13:30

    As mentioned previously, the South African Reserve Bank has lowered the repo rate by 25 basis points, to 3.5 per cent. Joining CNBC Africa to look at how this further cut of interest rates means for South Africa locally and internationally are Annabel Bishop, Chief Economist at Investec and Elina Ribakova, Deputy Chief Economist at the Institute of International Finance.

  • WEBINAR: Tune in to hear @UliVolz of @CSF_SOAS discuss the impact of #climatechange on sovereign risk. Registration is open for the next IIF #ESG webinar, July 28 at 10:30 am EDT: Link https://t.co/IAwWOhaqdt
    IIF Thu 23 Jul 2020 18:29
  • #Ecuador has the most significant overvaluation in EM, finds @RobinBrooksIIF and team in the latest Global Macro Views, which also adds #Ukraine to the EM FX fair value model: Link https://t.co/XVuLiwAHi0
    IIF Thu 23 Jul 2020 15:44
  • ICYMI: Global debt in $$ and as debt-to-GDP reached new record highs in Q1 2020, notes the latest IIF Global Debt Monitor. Read the full report here: Link https://t.co/A4ctJPd18D
    IIF Tue 21 Jul 2020 21:18
  • In an environment where a number of EMs might end up reducing their external vulnerabilities, #SouthAfrica, #Turkey, and #Ukraine face challenges w/ thin reserve buffers and tough outlooks. More in Economic Views: Link https://t.co/ZovfNWxAix
    IIF Tue 21 Jul 2020 19:22
  • WEBINAR: This Thurs. (July 23) at 10:30 am EDT, join the project team behind the joint IIF/@Deloitte paper on #COVID19 and #digitaltransformation + guests from @googlecloud, @Citi, & #FirstRand to discuss how the pandemic accelerated changes in #finserv. Link https://t.co/8iJuMQ501G
    IIF Tue 21 Jul 2020 15:12
  • The IIF's Sonja Gibbs (@onegoodchart) will join the virtual #FinanceNature Summit tomorrow to discuss #ESG risk disclosure and the value of disclosing nature-related financial info for the #sustainablefinance market. More info + registration here: Link https://t.co/SI2lmqnp3W
    IIF Mon 20 Jul 2020 15:46
  • #ESG WEBINAR: Tune in tomorrow at 10:30 EDT to hear @StanChart's Daniel Hanna (@djwhanna) and Deniz Harut (@denizharut) discuss how banks can advance the #sustainablefinance agenda. Register to join here: Link https://t.co/iE3tseJdOI
    IIF Mon 20 Jul 2020 12:01
  • Both #islamicbanking and #digitaltransformation share the goal of meeting customer preferences, notes @QIBGroup CEO Bassel Gamal in new FRT podcast. Listen here: Link
    IIF Mon 20 Jul 2020 10:56
  • Global Debt Monitor: Sharp Spike in Debt Ratios #Globaldebt soared to a record high 331% of GDP ($258T) in Q1 2020, increasing more than 10%pts from Q4 2019. ? Link https://t.co/8VLUGlQDnq
    IIF Sat 18 Jul 2020 15:05
  • GMV – #Brazil vs #Turkey in the COVID-19 Shock Factoring BoP deterioration into the IIF valuation model, the Brazilian Real appears substantially undervalued by ~15%, while the Turkish Lira is overvalued around 10%. ? Link https://t.co/WiSYJ9Ua1S
    IIF Sat 18 Jul 2020 15:05
  • Macro Notes – EM Challenges: Tourism Comes to a Halt The drastic decline in tourism this year will have a significant impact on economic activity in many emerging markets. ? Link https://t.co/eDsH0vsSYL
    IIF Sat 18 Jul 2020 15:05
  • #China Spotlight: Household Balance Sheets and Asset Allocation @genemaIIF & @phoebe_fengxy break down the #PBoC's recent release of data on Chinese household assets. ? Link https://t.co/BhaEYma54d
    IIF Sat 18 Jul 2020 15:05
  • Economic Views: EM External Adjustment under COVID-19 With imports contracting even more than exports in EM, research from @SergiLanauIIF & @EconChart suggests EM current account deficits will vanish. ? Link https://t.co/YUPUIKMxpP
    IIF Sat 18 Jul 2020 15:05
  • Parallel Exchange Rates in the #MENA Region @Garbis_Iradian looks at the spread between official and parallel rates in the MENA economies with large secondary market discounts, coupled with inflation forecasts. ? Link https://t.co/Q1FoASSSzG
    IIF Sat 18 Jul 2020 15:05
  • Frontier LatAm: COVID-19 and External Spillovers “Frontier #LatAm countries, heavily dependent on tourism and remittances, have taken a hard hit from #COVID19,” writes @IIFPaola @CorcinoPaulino @mcastellano44. ? Link https://t.co/bwPuZLKMfR
    IIF Sat 18 Jul 2020 15:05
  • THREAD | ? Research Round-up ? A look at the week’s research from the IIF, including: ?? A surge in #globaldebt, reaching a record-high 331% of GDP ($258T) in Q1 2020 ?? The impact of decreased #tourism on EM economies ?? Analysis of Chinese household balance sheets
    IIF Sat 18 Jul 2020 15:05
  • #Brazil vs. #Turkey in the #COVID19 Shock: Our valuation model suggests the Real is "substantially undervalued" whereas the Lira has posted its first overvaluation signal since 2018H1. More for members in new Global Macro Views: Link https://t.co/Vq6bf26v0C
    IIF Fri 17 Jul 2020 20:04
  • Key takeaways from new IIF #GlobalDebt Monitor: ? Debt-to-GDP now at record-high 331%, up from 320% in Q4 2019 ? #EmergingMarket debt now at 230% of GDP, a 10%pt increase since Q4 2019 driven mostly by Chinese non-financial corporate debt Full report: Link https://t.co/arm2yDT0es
    IIF Fri 17 Jul 2020 19:24
  • "[The IIF] said the first-quarter debt-to-GDP ratio jumped by over 10 percentage points, the largest quarterly surge on record, to reach a record 331%" - @andrea_shalal @Reuters Link
    IIF Thu 16 Jul 2020 20:48

    WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Global debt surged to a record $258 trillion in the first quarter of 2020 as economies around the world shut down to contain the coronavirus pandemic, and debt levels are continuing to rise, the Institute for International Finance said on Thursday in a report.

    The IIF, which represents global banks and financial institutions, said the first-quarter debt-to-GDP ratio jumped by over 10 percentage points, the largest quarterly surge on record, to reach a record 331%.

    While the rise in debt levels was well below average quarterly gains seen from 2015 to 2019, the pace of global debt build-up by governments, companies, financial institutions and households had accelerated since March, it said.

    Overall gross debt issuance hit an “eye-watering” record of $12.5 trillion in the second quarter, compared with a quarterly average of $5.5 trillion in 2019,...

  • ANSWER: New IIF Global Debt Monitor data shows an ~11%pt increase in the overall global debt-to-GDP ratio: 320% (Q4 2019) to 331% (Q1 2020). Read more here: Link
    IIF Thu 16 Jul 2020 18:53
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