• RT @Claudia_Sahm: @AngelUbide @AdamPosen @jnordvig @byHeatherLong @greg_ip @jasonfurman @GagnonMacro @D_Blanchflower @ModeledBehavior @sam_…
    Adam Posen Fri 13 Aug 2021 11:54
  • RT @Claudia_Sahm: my thread replying to @AdamPosen arguments last night for persistently above 2% inflation and how Fed should respond. (re…
    Adam Posen Fri 13 Aug 2021 11:54
  • RT @theindicator: RIP Office: In Part II of our exploration of the future of work, @ModeledBehavior makes the case for why we’re not going…
    Adam Posen Thu 12 Aug 2021 22:59
  • RT @adam_tooze: Recently both Yellen and Lagarde have expressed concern over costs of housing, but no central bank has so far found a way t…
    Adam Posen Thu 12 Aug 2021 20:49
  • RT @GitaGopinath: In June the G7 pledged substantial vaccine donations to COVAX. On average 10% delivered so far, with the range 0%-19%. Ur…
    Adam Posen Thu 12 Aug 2021 20:44
  • RT @yayitsrob: Lacerating from @adam_tooze on Biden’s OPEC letter: “We should not mince words: if this is the stance of the Biden adminis…
    Adam Posen Thu 12 Aug 2021 18:39
  • RT @JustinSandefur: Tale of two pandemics: - American poverty is reaching historic lows. - Global poverty is rising for the first time in…
    Adam Posen Thu 12 Aug 2021 18:39
  • RT @dkedrosky: If you haven't had the chance to read this week's newsletter, I discuss the insufficiency of the Glorious Revolution as an e…
    Adam Posen Thu 12 Aug 2021 18:29
  • RT @PIIE: Why not borrow someone else’s proven recipe & repurpose CureVac’s supply chain to make one of the other mRNA vaccines? The supply…
    Adam Posen Thu 12 Aug 2021 18:04
  • RT @D_Blanchflower: But let's be clear Adam if you & I were MPC/FOMC we know what to do if inflation is persistent! We could have 10 minut…
    Adam Posen Thu 12 Aug 2021 16:24
  • RT @AEAjournals: Forthcoming in the AER: "The Intergenerational Effects of a Large Wealth Shock: White Southerners after the Civil War" by…
    Adam Posen Thu 12 Aug 2021 16:14
  • RT @jasonfurman: Here is your inflation scorecard. For context, as recently as two months ago people were speculating that we "might" get 3…
    Adam Posen Wed 11 Aug 2021 15:08
  • My new article "Fiscal Success During COVID-19 Says Believe the Good News" is out @Intereconomics_ Our policy focus instead should be on what to do with the ?scal space that almost all advanced economies (and a surprising number of EM) actually have. Adam Posen Wed 11 Aug 2021 15:03
  • My new article "Fiscal Success During COVID-19 Says Believe the Good News" is out @Intereconomics_ Too much blood in unemployment and sweat in terms of intellectual effort has been spent on trying to determine the amount of fiscal space economies have Adam Posen Wed 11 Aug 2021 15:03
  • RT @PIIE: AUGUST 20: Switzerland's unique role in the international financial system is evolving in response to changing geopolitics, enhan…
    Adam Posen Wed 11 Aug 2021 14:58
  • RT @TrevonDLogan: Tonight’s #DITE2021 panel features @drlisadcook @CeciliaERouse in conversation moderated by @SandyDarity. Exploring the t…
    Adam Posen Wed 11 Aug 2021 12:18
  • RT @nberpubs: Chronic distress among native peoples in the US is the highest of any racial or ethnic group, from @d_blanchflower and Donna…
    Adam Posen Wed 11 Aug 2021 12:18
  • RT @ChadBown: The world needs more Covid vaccines. One solution may be found in failure: CureVac. By @TimFernholz Link
    Adam Posen Wed 11 Aug 2021 12:13

    ?The world needs more Covid vaccines. Time to make some!

    Even as the struggle against vaccine hesitancy and increasingly infectious variants continues, on a global level, demand for the vaccines that provide better immunity to Covid-19 has not been met.

    One solution may be found in failure: CureVac, a German company that joined the rush of firms creating inoculants in 2020 found out in June that its product is only 47% effective against the coronavirus, compared to 90% or higher in vaccines made by Pfizer or Moderna.

  • RT @TheRickWilson: 8/ The old GOP model of "the best government is local" and "muh 10th Admt" is gone and now telling local school district…
    Adam Posen Wed 11 Aug 2021 02:32
  • RT @TylerGellasch: The incredible growth of leverage is a result of a lot of factors. And while Fed monetary policy is one of them, Fed ban…
    Adam Posen Wed 11 Aug 2021 02:07
  • RT @DianeSwonk: Fear of infection is it’s own deterrent to activity, regardless of lockdowns. Cue @Austan_Goolsbee and his colleagues and t…
    Adam Posen Wed 11 Aug 2021 02:02
  • RT @GitaGopinath: My new blog with Vitor Gaspar: Link Link
    Adam Posen Tue 10 Aug 2021 20:17

    Without resolute measures to address this growing divide, COVID?19 will continue to claim lives and destroy jobs, inflicting lasting damage to investment, productivity, and growth in the most vulnerable countries. The pandemic will further disrupt the lives of the most vulnerable, and countries will see a rise in extreme poverty and malnutrition, shattering all hope of attaining the Sustainable Development Goals.

    Narrowing the pandemic divide thus requires collective action to boost access to vaccines, secure critical financing, and accelerate the transition to a greener, digital, and more inclusive world.

    Securing finance

    As a result of the pandemic, debt and deficits have dramatically increased from already historically high levels. Average overall fiscal deficits as a share of GDP in 2021 have reached 9.9 percent for advanced economies, 7.1 percent for emerging market economies, and 5.2 percent for low-income developing countries. Global government debt...

  • I recommend the new book "Emanuel's Children" by Ron Seckinger. Too many books on 20th c. Southern American Whites engage in deification or vilification, or one masquerading as the other. This family history is about their real lives and gives real insight Link https://t.co/4KY7UpCaEn
    Adam Posen Tue 10 Aug 2021 20:07
    Ordinary people, extraordinary lives. These are true stories of the Strouds, eight siblings born into rural poverty in Emanuel County, Georgia at the turn of the 20th century. Surviving a childhood of hard work, deprivation, and sparse expectations, they followed different paths in their separate quests for security or survival. None occupied a high public office, amassed a fortune, starred in movies, or discovered the cure for a disease. They occasionally crossed paths with the famous but rarely attracted attention beyond their small circles of family, friends, and acquaintances.Yet drama filled their lives. Most of them knew squalor or tragedy or both. Some displayed incomparable strength of character and achieved modest triumphs under exceptionally trying circumstances. Others surrendered to alcoholism or despair. Their combined experiences included death in childbirth, murder, the loss of an only child, suicide, railroad strikes,...
  • RT @leemakiyama: Unemployment of foreign vs native-born in @OECD countries. #Sweden once again at the bottom: 3.5x (!) higher unemployment…
    Adam Posen Tue 10 Aug 2021 18:02
  • RT @bruceestokes: U.S. net exports of technology have fallen since 2011 | FRED Blog Link
    Adam Posen Tue 10 Aug 2021 18:02

    The FRED graph above shows the quarterly evolution of U.S. net exports of technology, from Q1 1967 to Q1 2021. Net exports of technology are measured as royalties and license fees received minus royalties and license fees paid during this period (as a percentage of GDP).

    The U.S. has always been a net exporter of technology and, hence, a net receiver of royalty payments. And net exports as a share of GDP have steadily increased from 0.12% in Q1 1985 to 0.48% in Q3 2011—an increase of 300%! But after 2011, there’s been a slow decline, reaching 0.28% in Q1 2021 (its lowest level since Q1 2002). What’s caused this decline?

    The FRED graph below shows, separately, exports of technology in terms of royalties received and imports of technology in terms of royalties paid (again, as a percentage of GDP). While U.S. technology exports have steadily fallen from 0.70% in Q3 2011 to 0.51% in Q1 2021, imports have remained fairly stable. Hence, the decline in net...

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